{"id":36133,"date":"2017-12-17T09:37:30","date_gmt":"2017-12-17T09:37:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/baovietduc.de\/?p=36133"},"modified":"2017-12-17T09:37:30","modified_gmt":"2017-12-17T09:37:30","slug":"lieu-the-gioi-se-phai-chung-kien-chien-tranh-my-trieu-trong-nam-2018","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/baovietduc.de\/2017\/12\/lieu-the-gioi-se-phai-chung-kien-chien-tranh-my-trieu-trong-nam-2018\/","title":{"rendered":"Li\u1ec7u th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn chi\u1ebfn tranh M\u1ef9 – Tri\u1ec1u trong n\u0103m 2018 ?"},"content":{"rendered":"

BVD – Khi n\u0103m 2017 d\u1ea7n kh\u00e9p l\u1ea1i, Newsweek ng\u00e0y 16.12 \u0111\u00e3 m\u1eddi c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia nh\u00ecn l\u1ea1i 3 \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00f3ng n\u0103m 2017 l\u00e0 b\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea3o Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean, cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u1edf Ukraine v\u00e0 \u1edf Syria, v\u00e0 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o li\u1ec7u th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn chi\u1ebfn tranh gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 CHDCND Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean trong n\u0103m 2018?<\/strong><\/p>\n

M\u1ef9 – Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean l\u00e0 k\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ecbch t\u1eeb h\u01a1n 50 n\u0103m qua, nh\u01b0ng c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng l\u00ean \u0111\u1ec9nh cao l\u1ecbch s\u1eed trong n\u0103m 2017, khi Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean li\u00ean t\u1ee5c th\u1eed t\u00ean l\u1eeda t\u1ea7m xa, nh\u1eb1m v\u01b0\u01a1n t\u1edbi kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1i v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n (VKHN) c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u00f3ng t\u1edbi l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 M\u1ef9. Hai \u00f4ng Donald Trump – Kim Jong-un c\u0169ng \u0111\u1ea5u v\u00f5 m\u1ed3m, d\u1ecda n\u1ea1t r\u1ee7a m\u1eafng nhau.
\nR\u1ea1ng s\u00e1ng 29.11, Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00f3ng t\u00ean l\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea1o li\u00ean l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba (ICBM) H\u1ecfa tinh-15, tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ee7 s\u1ee9c \u0111\u1eb7t M\u1ef9 v\u00e0o t\u1ea7m ng\u1eafm v\u00e0 r\u1ed3i Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean t\u1ef1 x\u01b0ng l\u00e0 c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n.<\/p>\n

Tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 ng\u00e0y 3.9, Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean th\u1eed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n l\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 6. Ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u00f3 d\u1ecda s\u1ebd th\u1eed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n l\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 7 tr\u00ean Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng.<\/p>\n

LHQ \u0111\u00e3 xu\u1ed1ng tay tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t m\u1ea1nh kinh t\u1ebf Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean, trong n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c bu\u1ed9c n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y t\u1eeb b\u1ecf ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n. B\u00ecnh Nh\u01b0\u1ee1ng c\u0169ng ch\u1ecbu s\u1ee9c \u00e9p t\u1eeb ph\u00eda Trung Qu\u1ed1c, \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng minh quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean.<\/p>\n

Nh\u01b0ng \u00f4ng Kim Jong-un lu\u00f4n kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn t\u1eeb b\u1ecf tham v\u1ecdng h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n, v\u00e0 B\u00ecnh Nh\u01b0\u1ee1ng tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n (VKHN) l\u00e0 c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1ed1ng \u201c\u0111\u1ebf qu\u1ed1c M\u1ef9 x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c\u201d.<\/p>\n

Nh\u00e0 Tr\u1eafng ph\u00e1t c\u00e1c th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p kh\u00e1c nhau v\u1ec1 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 n\u00e0y, g\u00e2y hoang mang cho t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c b\u00ean li\u00ean quan. C\u00e1c c\u1ed1 v\u1ea5n h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng Trump lu\u00f4n \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p ngo\u1ea1i giao, \u0111\u1ed1i tho\u1ea1i, nh\u01b0ng \u00f4ng Trump c\u1eaft ngang b\u1eb1ng nh\u1eefng l\u1eddi d\u1ecda n\u1ea1t hung h\u0103ng v\u00e0 ng\u1ea3 v\u1ec1 h\u01b0\u1edbng h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1.<\/p>\n

Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh n\u00e0y, \u0111a ph\u1ea7n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi lo ng\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 – Tri\u1ec1u lao v\u00e0o \u0111\u00e1nh nhau. Ng\u00e0y 14.12, T\u1ed5ng th\u01b0 k\u00fd LHQ Antonio Guterres c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o: \u201c\u0110i\u1ec1u t\u1ec7 h\u1ea1i nh\u1ea5t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra v\u1edbi t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 ch\u00fang ta, l\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c m\u1ed9ng du v\u00e0o chi\u1ebfn tranh\u201d.<\/p>\n

Tu\u1ea7n qua, Th\u01b0\u1ee3ng ngh\u1ecb s\u0129 M\u1ef9 Lindsey Graham cho r\u1eb1ng ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 30% kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u00f4ng Trump s\u1ebd kh\u1edfi chi\u1ebfn v\u1edbi Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean. Nh\u01b0ng xem ra c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia \u0111ang lo ng\u1ea1i chi\u1ebfn tranh M\u1ef9 – Tri\u1ec1u s\u1ebd b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 trong n\u0103m 2018.<\/p>\n

Nh\u00e0 s\u1eed h\u1ecdc Charles K. Armstrong, v\u00e0 l\u00e0 gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean \u1edf khoa Khoa h\u1ecdc – X\u00e3 h\u1ed9i thu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Columbia (M\u1ef9) n\u00f3i v\u1edbi Newsweek: \u201cT\u00f4i cho r\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng x\u1ea3y ra n\u0103m 2018, nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5\u201d.<\/p>\n

Xem ra v\u1ecb gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 c\u0169ng l\u1ea1c quan v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n v\u1edbi B\u00ecnh Nh\u01b0\u1ee1ng trong n\u0103m m\u1edbi: \u201c\u0110\u1ea5y l\u00e0 c\u00e1ch duy nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh. N\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng s\u1edbm b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n, Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean s\u1ebd c\u00f2n th\u1eed nhi\u1ec1u t\u00ean l\u1eeda n\u1eefa trong n\u0103m 2018\u201d.<\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 Armstrong n\u00f3i: \u201cM\u1ee5c ti\u00eau c\u1ee7a Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean l\u00e0 ch\u1ee9ng t\u1ecf kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u00e1nh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c M\u1ef9 b\u1eb1ng t\u00ean l\u1eeda ICBM g\u1eafn \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea1n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n. V\u00e0 v\u00e0i chuy\u00ean gia v\u1eabn c\u00f2n nghi ng\u1edd t\u00ean l\u1eeda Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 bay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i kh\u00ed quy\u1ec3n an to\u00e0n v\u00e0 c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea1n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n. V\u00ec th\u1ebf, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n th\u1eed t\u00ean l\u1eeda, tr\u1eeb phi M\u1ef9 s\u1edbm b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n\u201d.<\/p>\n

Nh\u01b0ng \u00f4ng c\u0169ng nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh: \u201cCu\u1ed9c ph\u00f3ng th\u1eed m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m ng\u01b0\u1eddi Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean th\u1ecfa m\u00e3n r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3, n\u00ean h\u1ecd s\u1ebd ch\u00fa tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n v\u00e0o ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n kinh t\u1ebf trong n\u01b0\u1edbc. \u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t v\u1ebf trong ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2013: C\u00f9ng l\u00fac ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf\u201d.<\/p>\n

Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho l\u00e0 c\u00f3 t\u1eeb 25 \u0111\u1ebfn 50 VKHN, nh\u01b0ng Gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 Armstrong nh\u1eafc r\u1eb1ng \u0111ang c\u00f3 tranh lu\u1eadn B\u00ecnh Nh\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ee7 ph\u00f3ng ICBM qua M\u1ef9 hay ch\u01b0a.<\/p>\n

H\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 11, H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng tham m\u01b0u li\u00ean qu\u00e2n M\u1ef9 n\u00eau m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u00ean b\u1ed9 – s\u1ebd x\u1ea3y ra trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn t\u1ed5ng l\u1ef1c – l\u00e0 c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n h\u1ee7y di\u1ec7t kho VKHN c\u1ee7a Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean.<\/p>\n

Nhi\u1ec1u chuy\u00ean gia c\u1ea3nh c\u00e1o: M\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh M\u1ef9 – Tri\u1ec1u s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn h\u00e0ng tri\u1ec7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u1ebft. V\u1ee5 kh\u1ea3o c\u1ee9u Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i M\u1ef9 (CRS, m\u1ed9t c\u01a1 quan kh\u1ea3o c\u1ee9u ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u00f4ng) c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 m\u1ed9t b\u00e1o c\u00e1o cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 10: M\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh m\u1edbi tr\u00ean b\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea3o Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ebft ch\u1ebft h\u00e0ng tr\u0103m ng\u00e0n ng\u01b0\u1eddi trong v\u00e0i ng\u00e0y \u0111\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

S\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf nguy c\u01a1 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng VKHN. B\u00e1o c\u00e1o vi\u1ebft: \u201cNgay c\u1ea3 n\u1ebfu nh\u01b0 Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean ch\u1ec9 d\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea1n quy \u01b0\u1edbc, \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh trong nh\u1eefng ng\u00e0y \u0111\u1ea7u s\u1ed1 ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u1ebft l\u00e0 t\u1eeb 30.000 \u0111\u1ebfn 300.000 ng\u01b0\u1eddi, v\u00e0 Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng n\u00e3 10.000 qu\u1ea3 ph\u00e1o\/ph\u00fat xu\u1ed1ng Seoul\u201d.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

\u00d4ng Kim Jong-un theo d\u00f5i m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c ph\u00f3ng t\u00ean l\u1eeda – \u1ea2nh: Getty Images<\/p>\n

\u201cCu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh k\u00e9o d\u00e0i gi\u1eefa d\u00e2n Ukraine v\u1edbi \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n

B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 2 cu\u1ed9c n\u1ed9i chi\u1ebfn v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n \u1edf \u0111\u00f4ng Ukraine v\u00e0 Syria.<\/p>\n

Khi n\u0103m 2017 s\u1eafp kh\u00e9p l\u1ea1i, n\u1ed9i chi\u1ebfn gi\u1eefa qu\u00e2n ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Ukraine v\u1edbi qu\u00e2n ly khai c\u00f3 Nga \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 \u0111\u00e3 t\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111i m\u1ea1ng s\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a 10.000 ng\u01b0\u1eddi g\u1ed3m 2.500 d\u00e2n th\u01b0\u1eddng, k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi n\u00f3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2014. Ngo\u00e0i ra, 1,6 tri\u1ec7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi ph\u1ea3i r\u1eddi b\u1ecf nh\u00e0 c\u1eeda.<\/p>\n

Theo Reuters, chi\u1ebfn tuy\u1ebfn 459 km \u1edf \u0111\u00f4ng Ukraine l\u00e0 khu v\u1ef1c nhi\u1ec1u m\u00ecn h\u00e0ng th\u1ee9 3 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, l\u00e0m ch\u1ebft ho\u1eb7c b\u1ecb th\u01b0\u01a1ng 105 d\u00e2n th\u01b0\u1eddng trong 9 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2017.<\/p>\n

V\u00ec th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi h\u01b0\u1edbng s\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd v\u00e0o s\u1ef1 tr\u1ed7i d\u1eady c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ea3ng ph\u00e1i theo ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c \u1edf ph\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u00e2y, n\u1ed9i chi\u1ebfn Syria, c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c ph\u00f3ng th\u1eed t\u00ean l\u1eeda t\u1ea7m xa c\u1ee7a Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean c\u00f9ng nh\u1eefng v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 kh\u00e1c, n\u1ed9i chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f4ng Ukraine h\u1ea7u nh\u01b0 b\u1ecb l\u00e3ng qu\u00ean, nh\u01b0ng n\u00f3 v\u1eabn c\u00f2n \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n

John E. Herbst, c\u1ef1u \u0111\u1ea1i s\u1ee9 M\u1ef9 \u1edf Ukraine v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n l\u00e0 ch\u1ee7 nhi\u1ec7m Trung t\u00e2m \u00c2u – \u00c1 Dinu Patriciu (thu\u1ed9c H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng Atlantic, M\u1ef9) n\u00f3i v\u1edbi Newsweek: \u201cCu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u1ea5y v\u1eabn kh\u1ed1c li\u1ec7t. T\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 4.2014, kh\u00f4ng ng\u00e0y n\u00e0o m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u0111\u00e1nh nhau \u1edf Ukraine. T\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3, m\u1ed7i ng\u00e0y c\u00f3 trung b\u00ecnh 2 v\u1ee5 vi ph\u1ea1m l\u1ec7nh ng\u01b0ng b\u1eafn ho\u1eb7c h\u01a1n\u201d.<\/p>\n

Newsweek n\u00eau d\u00f9 T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Nga Vladimir Putin ph\u1ee7 nh\u1eadn, \u00f4ng Herbst n\u00f3i hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0n qu\u00e2n Nga \u1edf \u0111\u00f4ng Ukraine v\u00e0 \u201c\u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh gi\u1eefa Nga v\u1edbi Ukraine. Kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 chuy\u1ec7n d\u00e2n \u0111\u00f4ng Ukraine n\u1ed5i d\u1eady ch\u1ed1ng ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd\u201d.<\/p>\n

\u00d4ng c\u00f2n n\u00f3i th\u00eam r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n b\u1ebf t\u1eafc, khi Ukraine \u201cch\u1ee9ng t\u1ecf c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng h\u01a1n Nga t\u01b0\u1edfng\u201d, v\u00e0 \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin kh\u00f4ng s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng m\u1edf m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng t\u1ed5ng l\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n

\u00d4ng Herbst n\u00f3i: \u201c\u0110\u1eebng n\u00edn th\u1edf hy v\u1ecdng cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn n\u00e0y s\u1ebd k\u1ebft th\u00fac trong n\u0103m 2018. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, n\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m, th\u1eadm ch\u1ec9 c\u1ea3 10, 20 n\u0103m\u201d.<\/p>\n

Nh\u01b0ng kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd r\u1ea5t t\u1ed1t cho Ukraine, v\u00ec vi\u1ec7c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf Nga (v\u1edbi c\u1edb Nga g\u00e2y ra cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh n\u00e0y) s\u1ebd c\u00f3 t\u00e1c d\u1ee5ng, v\u00e0 n\u1ebfu T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Nga Vladimir Putin t\u00e1i tr\u00fang c\u1eed n\u0103m 2018, \u00f4ng s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi s\u1ee9c \u00e9p ph\u1ea3i t\u1eeb b\u1ecf s\u1ef1 can thi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a Nga, theo nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng Herbst.<\/p>\n

\u00d4ng n\u00f3i: \u201c\u0110a s\u1ed1 d\u00e2n Ukraine tham gia cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn n\u00e0y. H\u1ecd hi\u1ec3u Nga chi\u1ebfm l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd v\u00e0 h\u1ecd mu\u1ed1n thu h\u1ed3i. Nh\u01b0ng ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Nga l\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ef1 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n. \u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn gi\u1eefa \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin v\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n Ukraine. N\u00f3 cho ph\u00e9p Ukraine duy tr\u00ec th\u1ebf l\u1ef1c nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin\u201d.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n v\u00f4 t\u1ed9i l\u00e0 n\u1ea1n nh\u00e2n cu\u1ed9c n\u1ed9i chi\u1ebfn Syria \u0111\u1eabm m\u00e1u – \u1ea2nh: Getty Images<\/p>\n

B\u1ecdn IS b\u1ecb \u0111\u00e1nh b\u1ea1i \u1edf Syria nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn l\u00e0 c\u00e1i gai \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Nga, M\u1ef9<\/strong><\/p>\n

N\u1ed9i chi\u1ebfn Syria \u0111\u1eabm m\u00e1u k\u00e9o d\u00e0i h\u01a1n n\u1eeda th\u1eadp ni\u00ean. Theo Cao \u1ee7y t\u1ecb n\u1ea1n LHQ, t\u1eeb khi b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 n\u0103m 2011, 400.000 ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ebft, v\u00e0 Syria l\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n di d\u00e2n l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. Hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 kho\u1ea3ng 5,4 tri\u1ec7u di d\u00e2n Syria,<\/p>\n

Ban \u0111\u1ea7u, \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 n\u1ed9i chi\u1ebfn gi\u1eefa qu\u00e2n n\u1ed5i d\u1eady ch\u1ed1ng ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 v\u1edbi qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i trung th\u00e0nh v\u1edbi T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Bashar al-Assad. Nh\u01b0ng r\u1ed3i n\u00f3 chuy\u1ec3n bi\u1ebfn ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p, t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 d\u00ednh l\u00edu c\u1ee7a nhi\u1ec1u b\u00e8 ph\u00e1i k\u00ecnh ch\u1ed1ng nhau, g\u1ed3m b\u1ecdn kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1 Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc H\u1ed3i gi\u00e1o IS.<\/p>\n

B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Assad b\u1ecb ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y c\u00e1o bu\u1ed9c l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t t\u1ed9i ph\u1ea1m chi\u1ebfn tranh ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i ch\u00ednh d\u00e2n n\u01b0\u1edbc \u00f4ng.<\/p>\n

T\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh r\u1ed1i lo\u1ea1n l\u00e0 k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n l\u00fd t\u01b0\u1edfng cho b\u1ecdn IS tr\u1ed3i l\u00ean n\u1eafm quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c, chi\u1ebfm nhi\u1ec1u v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ea5t tr\u00ean to\u00e0n Syria v\u00e0 Iraq l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng. D\u00f9 ch\u00fang \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb \u0111\u00e1nh b\u1ea1i \u1edf hai n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y, nh\u01b0ng ch\u00fang v\u1eabn l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u00e1i gai. Chi\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 ch\u01b0a d\u1eebng \u1edf Syria, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 hy v\u1ecdng k\u1ebft th\u00fac nh\u1eefng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00f9 \u0111\u1ecbch trong n\u0103m m\u1edbi 2018.<\/p>\n

Khi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ecfi li\u1ec7u cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn n\u00e0y s\u1ebd k\u1ebft th\u00fac trong n\u0103m 2018, n\u1eef chuy\u00ean gia k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o Jennifer Cafarella (\u1edf H\u1ecdc vi\u1ec7n nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u chi\u1ebfn tranh, M\u1ef9) n\u00f3i v\u1edbi Newsweek: \u201cT\u00f4i r\u1ea5t bu\u1ed3n khi ph\u1ea3i n\u00f3i xem ra kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng k\u1ebft th\u00fac chi\u1ebfn tranh. B\u1ecdn IS c\u00f3 c\u1ea3 \u00fd ch\u00ed l\u1eabn kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c g\u00e2y ra m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c n\u1ed5i d\u1eady. B\u1ecdn kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1 Al-Qaeda c\u00f3 qu\u00e2n \u1edf ph\u00eda t\u00e2y Syria v\u00e0 mu\u1ed1n \u0111em chi\u1ebfn tranh tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 Syria, khi ch\u00fang n\u1ed5i l\u00ean l\u1ea1i \u1edf \u0111\u00f4ng Syria, h\u1eadu c\u1ee9 l\u1ecbch s\u1eed c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang\u201d.<\/p>\n

B\u00e0 Cafarella n\u00f3i th\u00eam: \u201cCh\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 Assad ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n l\u1ec7 thu\u1ed9c Nga v\u00e0 c\u00e1c d\u00e2n qu\u00e2n do Iran cung c\u1ea5p, \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 – ph\u1ea3n c\u00f4ng, nh\u1eb1m c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00e1i ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc\u201d.<\/p>\n

B\u00e0 c\u0169ng m\u00f4 t\u1ea3 \u201c\u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u01b0\u1edbng ngo\u1ea1i giao\u201d do Nga – Iran – Syria l\u1eadp l\u00e0 \u201c\u0111\u00e1ng x\u1ea5u h\u1ed5\u201d, v\u00ec k\u1ebf s\u00e1ch n\u00e0y c\u00f3 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u1ed1i th\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u00e0 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 Assad b\u1eb1ng b\u1ea5t c\u1ee9 gi\u00e1 n\u00e0o, trong khi hi\u1ec7n ch\u01b0a th\u1ec3 c\u00f3 gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh n\u00e0o.<\/p>\n

B\u00e0 Cafarella n\u00f3i: \u201cAssad ch\u01b0a th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u kho\u1ea3n m\u00e0 phe \u0111\u1ed1i l\u1eadp c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c. M\u1ef9 th\u00ec kh\u00f4ng l\u00e0m g\u00ec \u0111\u1ec3 \u00e9p \u00f4ng \u1ea5y nh\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u1ed9, thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u h\u00e0ng khi Nga – Iran ph\u00e0 h\u01a1i th\u1edf s\u1ef1 s\u1ed1ng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i cho ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 Assad\u201d.<\/p>\n

Theo v\u1ecb n\u1eef chuy\u00ean gia, trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai, vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 trong cu\u1ed9c n\u1ed9i chi\u1ebfn n\u00e0y c\u0169ng r\u1ea5t kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn, v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Trump s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i tr\u1ea3 l\u1eddi nhi\u1ec1u c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u00a0(theo Newsweek)<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

BVD – Khi n\u0103m 2017 d\u1ea7n kh\u00e9p l\u1ea1i, Newsweek ng\u00e0y 16.12 \u0111\u00e3 m\u1eddi c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia nh\u00ecn l\u1ea1i 3 \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00f3ng n\u0103m 2017 l\u00e0 b\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea3o Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean, cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u1edf Ukraine v\u00e0 \u1edf Syria, v\u00e0 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o li\u1ec7u th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn chi\u1ebfn tranh gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 CHDCND Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean trong n\u0103m […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":36134,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[124,112,136],"tags":[4447],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/baovietduc.de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36133"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/baovietduc.de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/baovietduc.de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baovietduc.de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baovietduc.de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=36133"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/baovietduc.de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36133\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":36137,"href":"https:\/\/baovietduc.de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36133\/revisions\/36137"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baovietduc.de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/36134"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/baovietduc.de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=36133"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baovietduc.de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=36133"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baovietduc.de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=36133"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}