{"id":47986,"date":"2018-08-19T08:11:13","date_gmt":"2018-08-19T08:11:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/baovietduc.de\/?p=47986"},"modified":"2018-08-19T08:11:13","modified_gmt":"2018-08-19T08:11:13","slug":"hoc-thuyet-g-2-va-don-danh-cua-my-vao-trung-quoc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/baovietduc.de\/2018\/08\/hoc-thuyet-g-2-va-don-danh-cua-my-vao-trung-quoc\/","title":{"rendered":"H\u1ecdc thuy\u1ebft G-2 v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f2n \u0111\u00e1nh c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0o Trung Qu\u1ed1c"},"content":{"rendered":"

BVD-\u00a0 B\u1ea3n ch\u1ea5t s\u00e2u xa c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9-Trung hi\u1ec7n nay kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01a1n thu\u1ea7n l\u00e0 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i n\u1eb1m \u1edf m\u1ea5y ch\u1ee5c t\u1ef7 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a b\u1ecb \u0111\u00e1nh thu\u1ebf.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n

Cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn gi\u00e0nh quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\nC\u0169ng chung quan \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u1edbi b\u00e0 Lawrence, tr\u00ean t\u1edd DW (\u0110\u1ee9c), gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 kinh t\u1ebf qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Hamburg, \u00f4ng Thomas Straubhaar nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i hi\u1ec7n nay ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u d\u1ec5 th\u1ea5y nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn l\u1edbn h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u trong cu\u1ed9c ch\u1ea1y \u0111ua gi\u00e0nh quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c v\u00e0 t\u1ea7m \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng trong th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 21. \u0110i\u1ec1u m\u00e0 ch\u00fang ta th\u1ea5y l\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t gi\u1eefa hai qu\u1ed1c gia v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, gi\u1eefa m\u1ed9t b\u00ean l\u00e0 \u201cAmerican First\u201d (N\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9 tr\u00ean h\u1ebft) v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t b\u00ean l\u00e0 \u201cMade in China\u201d (S\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t t\u1ea1i Trung Qu\u1ed1c).Nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u00ean t\u1edd B\u01b0u \u0111i\u1ec7n Hoa Nam Bu\u1ed5i s\u00e1ng (Hong Kong), b\u00e0 Lawrence J. Lau, Gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Trung V\u0103n H\u01b0\u01a1ng C\u1ea3ng (\u1edf Hong Kong, Trung Qu\u1ed1c), cho r\u1eb1ng cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9-Trung th\u1ef1c ra kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i v\u1ec1 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i. Cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c hai y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n quan tr\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y. Th\u1ee9 nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c c\u1ea1nh tranh gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u00e0nh v\u1ecb tr\u00ed th\u1ed1ng l\u0129nh kinh t\u1ebf, c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. Th\u1ee9 hai l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 tr\u1ed7i d\u1eady c\u1ee7a t\u00e2m l\u00fd b\u1ea3o h\u1ed9, c\u00f4 l\u1eadp, d\u00e2n t\u00fay tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi n\u00f3i chung v\u00e0 \u1edf M\u1ef9 n\u00f3i ri\u00eang.<\/p>\n

T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Trump ch\u01b0a bao gi\u1edd che gi\u1ea5u tham v\u1ecdng \u201cAmerican First\u201d. M\u1ecdi th\u1ee9 kh\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec1u l\u00e0 th\u1ee9 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u00f4ng v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u1ee5c v\u1ee5 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng l\u00e0 theo \u0111u\u1ed5i l\u1ee3i \u00edch M\u1ef9. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u00f4ng, ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u201cng\u00e1ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng\u201d: Trung Qu\u1ed1c. C\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 ti\u1ec1m t\u00e0ng trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 Thomas Straubhaar nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh: C\u00e1c nh\u00f3m nh\u01b0 G-7, G-8 hay G-20 hay nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp th\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec9nh thu h\u00fat ch\u00fa \u00fd c\u1ee7a truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng l\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng quan tr\u1ecdng l\u1eafm v\u1edbi \u00f4ng Trump. V\u00ec v\u1edbi \u00f4ng, th\u1ee9 quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 G-2 \u2013 M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n

H\u1ecdc thuy\u1ebft G-2 th\u1ef1c ra \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i t\u1eeb tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Trump c\u1ea7m quy\u1ec1n, r\u1eb1ng M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 hai qu\u1ed1c gia c\u1ea1nh tranh nhau v\u1ec1 v\u1ecb tr\u00ed kinh t\u1ebf. Do \u0111\u00f3, cu\u1ed9c c\u1ea1nh tranh gi\u1eefa Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng k\u1ebft th\u00fac khi \u00f4ng Trump r\u1eddi v\u1ecb tr\u00ed.<\/p>\n

So k\u00e8 kinh t\u1ebf<\/strong><\/p>\n

\nTrong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh hai b\u00ean li\u00ean t\u1ee5c \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf cao v\u1edbi s\u1ed1 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 h\u00e0ng ch\u1ee5c t\u1ef7 c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u01b0\u01a1ng, ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u g\u00ec cho th\u1ea5y cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t. D\u00f9 \u0111\u1ec1u l\u00e0 th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi (WTO) nh\u01b0ng c\u1ea3 hai s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ec3 WTO c\u1ea3n b\u01b0\u1edbc.T\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m qu\u1ed1c n\u1ed9i (GDP) Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt t\u1eeb ch\u1ed7 ch\u1ec9 t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng 20% GDP M\u1ef9 n\u0103m 2000 l\u00ean t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng 2\/3 GDP n\u0103m 2017 v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1eaft k\u1ecbp M\u1ef9 tr\u01b0\u1edbc n\u0103m 2030 n\u1ebfu \u0111\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n nay ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c.<\/p>\n

Khi c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p \u00e1p thu\u1ebf kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u t\u00e1c d\u1ee5ng, Gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 Thomas Straubhaar cho r\u1eb1ng M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd d\u00f9ng \u201cs\u00fang\u201d to h\u01a1n: thao t\u00fang t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 h\u1ed1i \u0111o\u00e1i.<\/p>\n

Theo Gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 Thomas Straubhaar, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean m\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 m\u1ea5t 7% gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb so v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng USD ch\u1ec9 trong v\u00e0i tu\u1ea7n. \u0110\u1ed3ng nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 b\u1ea3o h\u1ed9 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd v\u00ec n\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t m\u00e0 M\u1ef9 \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t tr\u1edf n\u00ean g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 l\u00e0 v\u00f4 h\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

M\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 n\u00e0y h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 m\u1ea1nh cho h\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ea1i m\u1ecdi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u00e0 h\u00e0ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 m\u1eb7t. Do \u0111\u00f3, \u0111\u1ed3ng nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf m\u00e0 T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Trump \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t b\u1ecb\u00a0 v\u00f4 hi\u1ec7u h\u00f3a.<\/p>\n

Chi\u1ebfn tranh ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd n\u1ed1i ti\u1ebfp chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u00e0 khi \u0111\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng ai c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ng\u0103n c\u1ea3n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c hai b\u00ean.<\/p>\n

C\u1ea1nh tranh c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7<\/strong><\/p>\n

\nPh\u1ea7n l\u1edbn nh\u1eefng l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec1u l\u00e0 l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed9c quy\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y, nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 M\u1ef9. Do \u0111\u00f3, Trung Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00e1t \u0111\u1ed9ng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u1ec3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 cao trong n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1eb7t ra m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda v\u1edbi th\u1ebf th\u1ed1ng tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 trong nh\u1eefng ng\u00e0nh tr\u00ean.Ngo\u00e0i kinh t\u1ebf, M\u1ef9 c\u00f2n mu\u1ed1n nh\u1eb1m v\u00e0o ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 cao c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u2013 n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e3 v\u1ea1ch ra chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c qu\u1ed1c gia \u201cMade in China 2025\u201d (S\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t t\u1ea1i Trung Qu\u1ed1c n\u0103m 2025). Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e0y nh\u1eb1m x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng 10 ng\u00e0nh quan tr\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 v\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u01b0 m\u1ea1ng 5G, an ninh m\u1ea1ng, c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c, robot h\u1ecdc, kh\u00f4ng gian v\u0169 tr\u1ee5…<\/p>\n

\u00d4ng Lorand Laskai, Tr\u1ee3 l\u00fd nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u t\u1ea1i H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng Quan h\u1ec7 \u0110\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i, n\u00f3i r\u00f5: Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u201cMade in China 2025\u201d s\u1ebd tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 trung t\u00e2m, m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda s\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 v\u1edbi vai tr\u00f2 \u0111i \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1ec1 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

(datviet)<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

BVD-\u00a0 B\u1ea3n ch\u1ea5t s\u00e2u xa c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9-Trung hi\u1ec7n nay kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01a1n thu\u1ea7n l\u00e0 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i n\u1eb1m \u1edf m\u1ea5y ch\u1ee5c t\u1ef7 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a b\u1ecb \u0111\u00e1nh thu\u1ebf. Cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn gi\u00e0nh quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c C\u0169ng chung quan \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u1edbi b\u00e0 Lawrence, tr\u00ean t\u1edd DW (\u0110\u1ee9c), gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 kinh t\u1ebf qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0110\u1ea1i […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":47987,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[124,119,112,136,120],"tags":[7881],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/baovietduc.de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47986"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/baovietduc.de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/baovietduc.de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baovietduc.de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baovietduc.de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47986"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/baovietduc.de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47986\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":47988,"href":"https:\/\/baovietduc.de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47986\/revisions\/47988"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baovietduc.de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47987"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/baovietduc.de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47986"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baovietduc.de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47986"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baovietduc.de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47986"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}